| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Kent State | 57-0 | 1743.1 | +55.6 | 1798.7 | 97.8% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Towson | 45-9 | 1798.7 | -12.9 | 1785.8 | 99.0% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Mississippi State | 34-41 | 1785.8 | -35.2 | 1750.6 | 52.2% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Alabama | 18-49 | 1750.6 | -38.8 | 1711.7 | 27.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Kentucky | 34-35 | 1711.7 | -9.1 | 1702.7 | 56.2% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Florida | 38-19 | 1702.7 | +31.0 | 1733.6 | 36.5% |